Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.07
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul travel to face U.N.A.M. - Pumas on Sunday 15 March in the Liga MX, with Estadio Olimpico Universitario the venue – the ball rolls at 04:10 WAT. In the table, U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Cruz Azul are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
U.N.A.M. - Pumas, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Necaxa, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Cruz Azul, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Monterrey, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.5 xG, Cruz Azul 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – U.N.A.M. - Pumas 31%, draw 24%, Cruz Azul 45%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Cruz Azul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
U.N.A.M. - Pumas31%fair 3.27 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Cruz Azul45%fair 2.22 · @2.05
3.27Expected goals
1.48U.N.A.M. - Pumas xG
1.80Cruz Azul xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1.5 – 1.8 Cruz Azul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cruz Azul
Attack vs Liga MX average
+5%
+40%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.62
1.93
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✗
45%
2.22
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.62
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
U.N.A.M. - Pumas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.07
–
Recent results
U.N.A.M. - Pumas – last 5
WLDWW
7 Mar
@ Necaxa
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Toluca
2–3
L
28 Feb
@ Club Tijuana
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Monterrey
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Puebla
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul – last 6
WWWWWW
11 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Atletico San Luis
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Monterrey
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Tigres UANL
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Cruz Azul.
What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
On our numbers U.N.A.M. - Pumas have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cruz Azul 45%.
How many goals will there be in U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
Our predicted score is U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1–1 Cruz Azul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Universitario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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