Monterrey 55%Draw 24%Atletico San Luis 21%Expected goals 1.82 – 1.20
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMonterrey to win ✗55% · @1.55
Double chanceMonterrey or draw ✗79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico San Luis travel to face Monterrey on Sunday 5 April in the Liga MX, with Estadio BBVA the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Monterrey are 10th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Atletico San Luis are 14th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Monterrey, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Guadalajara Chivas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Atletico San Luis, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Leon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey 1.8 xG, Atletico San Luis 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey 55%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 21%.
Lower-risk option: Monterrey or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey 1–1 Atletico San Luis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterrey55%fair 1.82 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @4.10
Atletico San Luis21%fair 4.82 · @5.50
3.03Expected goals
1.82Monterrey xG
1.20Atletico San Luis xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Monterrey 1.8 – 1.2 Atletico San Luis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
Attack vs Liga MX average
+5%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.60
1.26
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey to win✗
55%
1.82
1.55
Double chance
Monterrey or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Monterrey (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Atletico San Luis +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
Monterrey to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Monterrey ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey / FT Monterrey✗
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Monterrey – last 6
LDDLLW
22 Mar
vs Guadalajara Chivas
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ FC Juarez
2–2
D
11 Mar
vs Cruz Azul
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Tigres UANL
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Club Queretaro
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico San Luis – last 6
LDLWLL
22 Mar
vs Leon
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Pachuca
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Cruz Azul
0–3
L
4 Mar
vs Mazatlán
4–1
W
1 Mar
vs Puebla
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Atlas
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterrey and Atletico San Luis.
What is the prediction for Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
On our numbers Monterrey have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico San Luis 21%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
Our predicted score is Monterrey 1–1 Atletico San Luis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis?
Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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