Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✗52% · @1.87
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Cruz Azul vs Pachuca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pachuca travel to face Cruz Azul on Sunday 5 April in the Liga MX, with Estadio Cuauhtemoc the venue – the ball rolls at 02:05 WAT. In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Pachuca are 8th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Cruz Azul, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mazatlán, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Pachuca, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Toluca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 1.8 xG, Pachuca 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 52%, draw 21%, Pachuca 27%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 1–1 Pachuca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul52%fair 1.92 · @1.87
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.80
Pachuca27%fair 3.75 · @3.70
3.06Expected goals
1.76Cruz Azul xG
1.30Pachuca xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 1.8 – 1.3 Pachuca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul
Pachuca
Attack vs Liga MX average
+40%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.87
1.58
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul to win✗
52%
1.92
1.87
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Draw no bet
Cruz Azul (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Pachuca +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
First team to score
Cruz Azul to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul / FT Cruz Azul✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul – last 6
DDDWWW
21 Mar
@ Mazatlán
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Monterrey
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Monterrey
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Atletico San Luis
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Santos Laguna
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pachuca – last 6
DDWWLW
23 Mar
vs Toluca
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Atletico San Luis
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Puebla
2–1
W
4 Mar
vs Necaxa
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Mazatlán
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Tigres UANL
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul and Pachuca.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Pachuca?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pachuca 27%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Pachuca?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Pachuca?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 1–1 Pachuca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Pachuca?
Cruz Azul vs Pachuca (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 02:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cuauhtemoc.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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