Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBohemians to win ✗51% · @1.89
Double chanceBohemians or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.86
Bohemians vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 1 May the Premier Division brings Bohemians against Derry City at Dalymount Park. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Bohemians are 2nd, among the top four, on 65 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bohemians, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to St Patrick's Athl., away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Derry City, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shelbourne, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Derry City, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Bohemians.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Derry City 0–1 Bohemians.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bohemians 1.5 xG, Derry City 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bohemians 51%, draw 26%, Derry City 23%.
Lower-risk option: Bohemians or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bohemians or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bohemians 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bohemians51%fair 1.97 · @1.89
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.35
Derry City23%fair 4.32 · @4.10
2.49Expected goals
1.49Bohemians xG
1.00Derry City xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bohemians 1.5 – 1.0 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Our pick is Bohemians or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bohemians vs Derry City?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Derry City 23%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Derry City?
Bohemians vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
