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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Drogheda United v Sligo Rovers: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Weavers Park
1–0
FT
Drogheda United 57%Draw 24%Sligo Rovers 19% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.88
81%
Betarazi pick

Drogheda United or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDrogheda United to win ✓57% · @1.94
Double chanceDrogheda United or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 1 May: Drogheda United v Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division, played at Weavers Park. In the table, Drogheda United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Sligo Rovers are 10th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Drogheda United, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Shelbourne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Sligo Rovers, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bohemians, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Drogheda United 1.7 xG, Sligo Rovers 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Drogheda United 57%, draw 24%, Sligo Rovers 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Drogheda United or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Drogheda United to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Drogheda United or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drogheda United 1–0 Sligo Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Drogheda United57%fair 1.76 · @1.94
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
Sligo Rovers19%fair 5.27 · @3.95
2.63Expected goals
1.74Drogheda United xG
0.88Sligo Rovers xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.7 – 0.9 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDrogheda United to win ✓57%1.761.94 ▲
Double chanceDrogheda United or draw ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.77
Draw no betDrogheda United (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapSligo Rovers +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.09
First team to scoreDrogheda United to score first ✓62%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Drogheda United / FT Drogheda United ✓36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Drogheda United – last 6

WLLDDD
24 Apr@ Shelbourne4–3W
17 Aprvs St Patrick's Athl.1–3L
6 Aprvs Galway United2–3L
3 Aprvs Bohemians0–0D
20 Mar@ Derry City2–2D
16 Marvs Shamrock Rovers0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sligo Rovers – last 6

WDLLLL
10 Apr@ Bohemians2–1W
6 Aprvs Derry City0–0D
3 Apr@ St Patrick's Athl.1–4L
16 Mar@ Dundalk0–1L
13 Marvs Shamrock Rovers0–2L
27 Feb@ Galway United0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Drogheda United and Sligo Rovers.

Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?

Our pick is Drogheda United or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?

On our numbers Drogheda United have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sligo Rovers 19%.

How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?

Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers?

Drogheda United vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.