Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✓63% · @1.23
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Waterford travel to face Shamrock Rovers on Friday 1 May in the Premier Division, with Tallaght Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Shamrock Rovers are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shamrock Rovers, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bohemians, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Waterford, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Galway United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shamrock Rovers, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Waterford.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Waterford 1–1 Shamrock Rovers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shamrock Rovers 1.9 xG, Waterford 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shamrock Rovers 63%, draw 21%, Waterford 16%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shamrock Rovers63%fair 1.58 · @1.23
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @5.50
Waterford16%fair 6.20 · @13.00
2.98Expected goals
1.87Shamrock Rovers xG
1.11Waterford xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 1.9 – 1.1 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterford 16%.
How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford?
Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
