Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDundalk to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Dundalk vs Shelbourne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 1 May the Premier Division brings Dundalk against Shelbourne at Oriel Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Shelbourne are 4th (among the top four) with 49.
Current form
Dundalk, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Galway United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Shelbourne, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Drogheda United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Dundalk, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Shelbourne.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Shelbourne 2–3 Dundalk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.7 xG, Shelbourne 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 40%, draw 23%, Shelbourne 37%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 Shelbourne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dundalk40%fair 2.53 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.55
Shelbourne37%fair 2.69 · @2.60
3.26Expected goals
1.66Dundalk xG
1.60Shelbourne xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.7 – 1.6 Shelbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dundalk vs Shelbourne?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shelbourne 37%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Shelbourne?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Shelbourne?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Shelbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Shelbourne?
Dundalk vs Shelbourne (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
