Drogheda United vs Derry City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Derry City travel to face Drogheda United on Friday 8 May in the Premier Division, with Weavers Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Drogheda United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Derry City are 5th (upper half) with 48.
Current form
Drogheda United, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Shamrock Rovers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Derry City, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Galway United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Derry City 2–2 Drogheda United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Drogheda United 1.2 xG, Derry City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Drogheda United 32%, draw 26%, Derry City 42%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drogheda United 1–1 Derry City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Drogheda United32%fair 3.17 · @3.35
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.25
Derry City42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
2.58Expected goals
1.21Drogheda United xG
1.37Derry City xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.2 – 1.4 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Derry City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Derry City?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Derry City 42%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Derry City?
Drogheda United vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
