St Patrick's Athl. 65%Draw 21%Waterford 14%Expected goals 1.85 – 0.98
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓65% · @1.21
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 8 May the Premier Division brings St Patrick's Athl. against Waterford at Richmond Park. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd, among the top four, on 60 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl., last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sligo Rovers, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Waterford, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Dundalk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Waterford.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Waterford 0–2 St Patrick's Athl..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give St Patrick's Athl. 1.9 xG, Waterford 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – St Patrick's Athl. 65%, draw 21%, Waterford 14%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
St Patrick's Athl.65%fair 1.54 · @1.21
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @5.70
Waterford14%fair 6.97 · @14.00
2.83Expected goals
1.85St Patrick's Athl. xG
0.98Waterford xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.9 – 1.0 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waterford 14%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
