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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dundalk v Bohemians: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Oriel Park

Dundalk

DLWDW
1–3
FT
Dundalk 37%Draw 24%Bohemians 39% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.55
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultBohemians to win ✓39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Dundalk vs Bohemians: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dundalk welcome Bohemians to Oriel Park for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 8 May (19:45 WAT). In the table, Dundalk are 6th, lower half, on 45 points after 36 matches; Bohemians are 2nd (among the top four) with 65. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Dundalk, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Waterford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Bohemians, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Shelbourne, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dundalk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Bohemians.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Bohemians 1–1 Dundalk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dundalk 1.4 xG, Bohemians 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dundalk 37%, draw 24%, Bohemians 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundalk 1–1 Bohemians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dundalk37%fair 2.72 · @2.58
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.45
Bohemians39%fair 2.53 · @2.55
2.99Expected goals
1.44Dundalk xG
1.55Bohemians xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Dundalk 1.4 – 1.5 Bohemians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBohemians to win ✓39%2.532.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.67
Draw no betBohemians (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapDundalk +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.11
First team to scoreBohemians to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bohemians / FT Bohemians ✗24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.52–

Recent results

Dundalk – last 6

DLWDWW
4 May@ Waterford3–3D
1 Mayvs Shelbourne1–2L
17 Aprvs Galway United2–1W
10 Aprvs Derry City2–2D
6 Aprvs St Patrick's Athl.2–0W
3 Apr@ Shelbourne3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Bohemians – last 6

DDLLLD
4 Mayvs Shelbourne2–2D
1 Mayvs Derry City1–1D
24 Apr@ St Patrick's Athl.1–3L
17 Apr@ Shamrock Rovers1–2L
10 Aprvs Sligo Rovers1–2L
6 Aprvs Waterford1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026Bohemians v Dundalk1–1
Dundalk vs Bohemians head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Dundalk vs Bohemians?

On our numbers Dundalk have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bohemians 39%.

How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Bohemians?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Bohemians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Dundalk vs Bohemians?

Dundalk vs Bohemians (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.