Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 8 May: Shelbourne v Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division, played at Tolka Park. In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; Sligo Rovers are 10th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shelbourne, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bohemians, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Sligo Rovers, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with St Patrick's Athl., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 2.1 xG, Sligo Rovers 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 66%, draw 20%, Sligo Rovers 14%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 2–0 Sligo Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shelbourne66%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.10
Sligo Rovers14%fair 6.97 · @6.40
2.92Expected goals
2.06Shelbourne xG
0.86Sligo Rovers xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 2.1 – 0.9 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✗
66%
1.53
1.50
Double chance
Shelbourne or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.90
Draw no bet
Shelbourne (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Shelbourne -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
First team to score
Shelbourne to score first✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Shelbourne ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Shelbourne – last 6
DWLLLL
4 May
@ Bohemians
2–2
D
1 May
@ Dundalk
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs Drogheda United
3–4
L
17 Apr
vs Derry City
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Shamrock Rovers
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Dundalk
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers – last 6
DLWDLL
4 May
vs St Patrick's Athl.
1–1
D
1 May
@ Drogheda United
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Bohemians
2–1
W
6 Apr
vs Derry City
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
16 Mar
@ Dundalk
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Sligo Rovers.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sligo Rovers 14%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 2–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers?
Shelbourne vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
