Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Derry City welcome St Patrick's Athl. to The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium for a Premier Division fixture on Friday 22 May (19:45 WAT). In the table, Derry City are 5th, upper half, on 48 points after 36 matches; St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd (among the top four) with 60. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Derry City, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Drogheda United, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
St Patrick's Athl., last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Waterford, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours St Patrick's Athl., collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Derry City.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended St Patrick's Athl. 0–0 Derry City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derry City 1.2 xG, St Patrick's Athl. 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derry City 36%, draw 27%, St Patrick's Athl. 37%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derry City 1–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derry City36%fair 2.81 · @2.78
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.20
St Patrick's Athl.37%fair 2.69 · @2.50
2.43Expected goals
1.22Derry City xG
1.22St Patrick's Athl. xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Derry City 1.2 – 1.2 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Derry City have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and St Patrick's Athl. 37%.
How many goals will there be in Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Derry City 1–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
