Drogheda United 37%Draw 23%Dundalk 40%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.51
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDundalk to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.19
Drogheda United vs Dundalk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dundalk travel to face Drogheda United on Friday 22 May in the Premier Division, with Weavers Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Drogheda United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 40 points after 36 matches; Dundalk are 6th (lower half) with 45.
Current form
Drogheda United, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Waterford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Dundalk, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bohemians, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Dundalk 1–1 Drogheda United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Drogheda United 1.6 xG, Dundalk 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Drogheda United 37%, draw 23%, Dundalk 40%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Drogheda United to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Drogheda United 1–1 Dundalk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Drogheda United37%fair 2.71 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.70
Dundalk40%fair 2.51 · @2.10
3.08Expected goals
1.58Drogheda United xG
1.51Dundalk xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.6 – 1.5 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundalk 40%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Drogheda United vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
