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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers: numbers & prediction

Premier Division · Ireland · Tallaght Stadium
1–2
FT
Shamrock Rovers 70%Draw 19%Sligo Rovers 11% Expected goals 2.10 – 0.73
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultShamrock Rovers to win ✗70% · @1.33
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✗89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51

Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Friday 22 May: Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division, played at Tallaght Stadium. In the table, Shamrock Rovers are 1st, leading the league, on 68 points after 36 matches; Sligo Rovers are 10th (in the drop zone) with 25. There are 43 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Shamrock Rovers, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Galway United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Sligo Rovers, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shelbourne, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Shamrock Rovers, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Sligo Rovers.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Sligo Rovers 0–2 Shamrock Rovers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shamrock Rovers 2.1 xG, Sligo Rovers 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shamrock Rovers 70%, draw 19%, Sligo Rovers 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shamrock Rovers 2–0 Sligo Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shamrock Rovers70%fair 1.42 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.80
Sligo Rovers11%fair 9.46 · @9.00
2.83Expected goals
2.10Shamrock Rovers xG
0.73Sligo Rovers xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Shamrock Rovers 2.1 – 0.7 Sligo Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShamrock Rovers to win ✗70%1.421.33
Double chanceShamrock Rovers or draw ✗89%1.121.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.872.00 ▲
Draw no betShamrock Rovers (draw no bet) ✗87%1.15–
Asian handicapShamrock Rovers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.15
First team to scoreShamrock Rovers to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultShamrock Rovers ahead at half-time ✓49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shamrock Rovers / FT Shamrock Rovers ✗45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

Shamrock Rovers – last 6

WWWWWW
8 May@ Galway United3–1W
4 Mayvs Drogheda United4–1W
1 Mayvs Waterford1–0W
17 Aprvs Bohemians2–1W
10 Apr@ St Patrick's Athl.1–0W
6 Aprvs Shelbourne3–2W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sligo Rovers – last 6

DDLWDL
8 May@ Shelbourne0–0D
4 Mayvs St Patrick's Athl.1–1D
1 May@ Drogheda United0–1L
10 Apr@ Bohemians2–1W
6 Aprvs Derry City0–0D
3 Apr@ St Patrick's Athl.1–4L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Sligo Rovers v Shamrock Rovers0–2
Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers head-to-head page →

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers362088+2168
2Bohemians361989+1965
3St Patrick's Athl.3617910+2460
4Shelbourne36121311+249
5Derry City36111510+348
6Dundalk36111213-445
7Waterford36101313-743
8Galway United36101214-742
9Drogheda United36101016-1340
10Sligo Rovers3651021-3825

More Premier Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

On our numbers Shamrock Rovers have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sligo Rovers 11%.

How many goals will there be in Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Our predicted score is Shamrock Rovers 2–0 Sligo Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tallaght Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.