Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultShelbourne to win ✓60% · @1.31
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.36
Shelbourne vs Waterford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 22 May the Premier Division brings Shelbourne against Waterford at Tolka Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Shelbourne are 4th, among the top four, on 49 points after 36 matches; Waterford are 7th (lower half) with 43.
Current form
Shelbourne, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sligo Rovers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Waterford, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Drogheda United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shelbourne 1.9 xG, Waterford 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shelbourne 60%, draw 20%, Waterford 20%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shelbourne 1–1 Waterford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shelbourne60%fair 1.68 · @1.31
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.90
Waterford20%fair 4.95 · @9.50
3.12Expected goals
1.87Shelbourne xG
1.25Waterford xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 1.9 – 1.2 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✓
60%
1.68
1.31
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Shelbourne (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Waterford +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
First team to score
Shelbourne to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Shelbourne ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Shelbourne – last 6
DDWLLL
8 May
vs Sligo Rovers
0–0
D
4 May
@ Bohemians
2–2
D
1 May
@ Dundalk
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs Drogheda United
3–4
L
17 Apr
vs Derry City
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Shamrock Rovers
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Waterford – last 6
WLDLDD
18 May
vs Drogheda United
2–1
W
8 May
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
4 May
vs Dundalk
3–3
D
1 May
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Galway United
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Bohemians
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Waterford.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Waterford?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Waterford 20%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 1–1 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Shelbourne vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
