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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Finn Harps v Bray Wanderers: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Finn Park

Finn Harps

LLLLD
2–1
FT

Bray Wanderers

DDLDL
Finn Harps 28%Draw 23%Bray Wanderers 49% Expected goals 1.10 – 1.68
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultBray Wanderers to win ✗49% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bray Wanderers travel to face Finn Harps on Monday 4 May in the First Division, with Finn Park the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Finn Harps are 10th, in the drop zone, on 28 points after 36 matches; Bray Wanderers are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Finn Harps, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Wexford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Bray Wanderers, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Treaty United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bray Wanderers, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Finn Harps.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Bray Wanderers 2–2 Finn Harps.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Finn Harps 1.1 xG, Bray Wanderers 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Finn Harps 28%, draw 23%, Bray Wanderers 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Finn Harps 1–1 Bray Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Finn Harps28%fair 3.57 · @3.05
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.65
Bray Wanderers49%fair 2.04 · @2.14
2.78Expected goals
1.10Finn Harps xG
1.68Bray Wanderers xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%

From our goals model: Finn Harps 1.1 – 1.7 Bray Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBray Wanderers to win ✗49%2.042.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.651.70
Draw no betBray Wanderers (draw no bet) ✗64%1.57–
Asian handicapFinn Harps +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
First team to scoreBray Wanderers to score first ✗57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bray Wanderers / FT Bray Wanderers ✗31%3.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Finn Harps – last 6

LLLLDD
1 May@ Wexford0–2L
24 Aprvs Athlone Town1–2L
17 Apr@ UCD1–2L
10 Aprvs Cobh Ramblers0–2L
6 Apr@ Bray Wanderers2–2D
3 Aprvs Cork City0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bray Wanderers – last 6

DDLDLW
1 Mayvs Treaty United2–2D
24 Aprvs Cork City1–1D
17 Apr@ Athlone Town1–2L
6 Aprvs Finn Harps2–2D
3 Apr@ Wexford1–2L
27 Marvs Kerry2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Bray Wanderers v Finn Harps2–2
Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub
FT Cobh Ramblers1 UCD2 136%2.48X24%3.40240%2.70 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Kerry1 Cork City0 122%6.80X23%4.20255%1.46 1.1–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT Longford Town1 Athlone Town1 143%2.05X25%3.45231%3.45 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.35 ✓
FT Treaty United1 Wexford0 133%3.30X26%3.35241%2.15 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

On our numbers Finn Harps have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bray Wanderers 49%.

How many goals will there be in Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Finn Harps 1–1 Bray Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers?

Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers (First Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Finn Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.