Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCork City to win ✗55% · @1.46
Double chanceCork City or draw ✗78% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Kerry vs Cork City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kerry welcome Cork City to Mounthawk Park for a First Division fixture on Monday 4 May (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Kerry, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Athlone Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Cork City, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cobh Ramblers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cork City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Kerry.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Cork City 4–2 Kerry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kerry 1.1 xG, Cork City 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kerry 22%, draw 23%, Cork City 55%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kerry 1–1 Cork City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kerry22%fair 4.52 · @6.80
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.20
Cork City55%fair 1.81 · @1.46
2.60Expected goals
1.06Kerry xG
1.54Cork City xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kerry 1.1 – 1.5 Cork City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kerry vs Cork City?
On our numbers Kerry have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cork City 55%.
How many goals will there be in Kerry vs Cork City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kerry vs Cork City?
Our predicted score is Kerry 1–1 Cork City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kerry vs Cork City?
Kerry vs Cork City (First Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Mounthawk Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
