Value bet: Athlone Town to win @ 3.45 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLongford Town to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Longford Town vs Athlone Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 4 May: Longford Town v Athlone Town in the First Division, played at Bishopsgate. In the table, Longford Town are 5th, upper half, on 52 points after 36 matches; Athlone Town are 7th (lower half) with 48.
Current form
Longford Town, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to UCD, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Athlone Town, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kerry, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Athlone Town, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Longford Town.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Athlone Town 2–0 Longford Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Longford Town 1.3 xG, Athlone Town 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Longford Town 43%, draw 25%, Athlone Town 31%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Athlone Town to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Longford Town 1–1 Athlone Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Longford Town43%fair 2.30 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.45
Athlone Town31%fair 3.20 · @3.45
2.44Expected goals
1.33Longford Town xG
1.11Athlone Town xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Longford Town 1.3 – 1.1 Athlone Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Longford Town vs Athlone Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Longford Town vs Athlone Town?
On our numbers Longford Town have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Athlone Town 31%.
How many goals will there be in Longford Town vs Athlone Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Longford Town vs Athlone Town?
Our predicted score is Longford Town 1–1 Athlone Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Longford Town vs Athlone Town?
Longford Town vs Athlone Town (First Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bishopsgate.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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