Value bet: Treaty United to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWexford to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.18
Treaty United vs Wexford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 4 May the First Division brings Treaty United against Wexford at Markets Field. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Treaty United are 9th, in the drop zone, on 42 points after 36 matches; Wexford are 8th (in the drop zone) with 42. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Treaty United, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Bray Wanderers, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Wexford, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Finn Harps, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Wexford, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Treaty United.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Wexford 3–2 Treaty United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Treaty United 1.3 xG, Wexford 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Treaty United 33%, draw 26%, Wexford 41%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Treaty United to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Treaty United 1–1 Wexford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Treaty United33%fair 3.04 · @3.30
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.35
Wexford41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
2.61Expected goals
1.30Treaty United xG
1.31Wexford xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Treaty United 1.3 – 1.3 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Treaty United vs Wexford?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Treaty United vs Wexford?
On our numbers Treaty United have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Wexford 41%.
How many goals will there be in Treaty United vs Wexford?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Treaty United vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is Treaty United 1–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Treaty United vs Wexford?
Treaty United vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Markets Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1