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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Athlone Town v Longford Town: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Athlone Town Stadium
2–1
FT
Athlone Town 41%Draw 25%Longford Town 34% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.17
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAthlone Town to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.49

Athlone Town vs Longford Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 7 August: Athlone Town v Longford Town in the First Division, played at Athlone Town Stadium. In the table, Athlone Town are 7th, lower half, on 48 points after 36 matches; Longford Town are 5th (upper half) with 52.

Current form

Athlone Town, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cork City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Longford Town, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Finn Harps, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Longford Town, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Athlone Town.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Longford Town 1–1 Athlone Town. The last 2 head-to-heads: Athlone Town 1 win, Longford Town 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Athlone Town 1.4 xG, Longford Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Athlone Town 41%, draw 25%, Longford Town 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athlone Town 1–1 Longford Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Athlone Town41%fair 2.44 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40
Longford Town34%fair 2.97 · @2.90
2.55Expected goals
1.38Athlone Town xG
1.17Longford Town xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%

From our goals model: Athlone Town 1.4 – 1.2 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAthlone Town to win ✓41%2.442.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.70
Draw no betAthlone Town (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapLongford Town +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.10
First team to scoreAthlone Town to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Athlone Town / FT Athlone Town ✓24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.49–

Recent results

Athlone Town – last 6

LDLWWL
3 Aug@ Cork City2–3L
31 Julvs UCD0–0D
24 Jul@ Treaty United1–2L
17 Julvs Midleton3–0W
10 Julvs Cobh Ramblers2–0W
3 Jul@ Bray Wanderers0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Longford Town – last 6

WWLWWW
3 Augvs Finn Harps5–0W
31 Jul@ Treaty United1–0W
25 Julvs Wexford1–2L
18 Jul@ Baldoyle United8–0W
10 Jul@ Cork City4–3W
4 Julvs UCD2–1W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Longford Town v Athlone Town1–1
6 Apr 2026Athlone Town v Longford Town2–0
Athlone Town vs Longford Town head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

On our numbers Athlone Town have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Longford Town 34%.

How many goals will there be in Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Our predicted score is Athlone Town 1–1 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Athlone Town vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Athlone Town Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.