Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: UCD to win @ 2.02 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUCD to win ✓53% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
UCD vs Wexford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UCD welcome Wexford to UCD Bowl for a First Division fixture on Friday 7 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, UCD are 2nd, among the top four, on 56 points after 36 matches; Wexford are 8th (in the drop zone) with 42. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
UCD, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Treaty United, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Wexford, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bray Wanderers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Wexford 2–1 UCD. The last 2 head-to-heads: UCD 0 wins, Wexford 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCD 2.0 xG, Wexford 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCD 53%, draw 22%, Wexford 25%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: UCD to win @2.02 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCD 1–1 Wexford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCD53%fair 1.87 · @2.02
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.65
Wexford25%fair 3.99 · @3.35
3.12Expected goals
1.98UCD xG
1.14Wexford xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: UCD 2.0 – 1.1 Wexford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win UCD vs Wexford?
On our numbers UCD have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wexford 25%.
How many goals will there be in UCD vs Wexford?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCD vs Wexford?
Our predicted score is UCD 1–1 Wexford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is UCD vs Wexford?
UCD vs Wexford (First Division) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at UCD Bowl.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry1