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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bray Wanderers v Finn Harps: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Carlisle Grounds
5–0
FT
Bray Wanderers 71%Draw 18%Finn Harps 11% Expected goals 2.33 – 0.86
71%
Betarazi pick

Bray Wanderers to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.29Odds

Picks by market

ResultBray Wanderers to win ✓71% · @1.29
Double chanceBray Wanderers or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 7 August the First Division brings Bray Wanderers against Finn Harps at Carlisle Grounds. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bray Wanderers are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 36 matches; Finn Harps are 10th (in the drop zone) with 28. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bray Wanderers, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Wexford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Finn Harps, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Longford Town, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bray Wanderers, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Finn Harps.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jul 2026) it ended Finn Harps 0–1 Bray Wanderers. The last 3 head-to-heads: Bray Wanderers 1 win, Finn Harps 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bray Wanderers 2.3 xG, Finn Harps 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bray Wanderers 71%, draw 18%, Finn Harps 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Bray Wanderers to win (71%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bray Wanderers 2–0 Finn Harps. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bray Wanderers71%fair 1.40 · @1.29
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @5.30
Finn Harps11%fair 9.09 · @9.70
3.20Expected goals
2.33Bray Wanderers xG
0.86Finn Harps xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Bray Wanderers 2.3 – 0.9 Finn Harps expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBray Wanderers to win ✓71%1.401.29
Double chanceBray Wanderers or draw ✓89%1.121.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.80
Draw no betBray Wanderers (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapBray Wanderers -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.601.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.691.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.301.25
First team to scoreBray Wanderers to score first ✓70%1.43–
Half-time resultBray Wanderers ahead at half-time ✓51%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bray Wanderers / FT Bray Wanderers ✓47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Bray Wanderers – last 6

LLWWWW
3 Aug@ Wexford1–2L
31 Julvs Kerry0–4L
24 Jul@ Cobh Ramblers2–1W
17 Jul@ Finn Harps1–0W
10 Julvs UCD6–0W
3 Julvs Athlone Town1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Finn Harps – last 6

LLLLLW
3 Aug@ Longford Town0–5L
31 Julvs Cork City0–3L
24 Jul@ Kerry1–2L
17 Julvs Bray Wanderers0–1L
10 Julvs Treaty United0–1L
3 Julvs Wexford1–0W
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jul 2026Finn Harps v Bray Wanderers0–1
4 May 2026Finn Harps v Bray Wanderers2–1
6 Apr 2026Bray Wanderers v Finn Harps2–2
Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Our pick is Bray Wanderers to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

On our numbers Bray Wanderers have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Finn Harps 11%.

How many goals will there be in Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Our predicted score is Bray Wanderers 2–0 Finn Harps, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps?

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps (First Division) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Carlisle Grounds.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.