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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cork City v Kerry: numbers & prediction

First Division · Ireland · Turners Cross
3–1
FT

Kerry

WWWDD
Cork City 62%Draw 21%Kerry 17% Expected goals 1.85 – 0.98
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultCork City to win ✓62% · @1.38
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Cork City vs Kerry: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 7 August the First Division brings Cork City against Kerry at Turners Cross. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Cork City, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Athlone Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Kerry, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cobh Ramblers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Kerry, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Cork City.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Kerry 1–0 Cork City. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cork City 1 win, Kerry 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cork City 1.9 xG, Kerry 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cork City 62%, draw 21%, Kerry 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cork City 1–1 Kerry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cork City62%fair 1.62 · @1.38
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.60
Kerry17%fair 5.86 · @7.90
2.83Expected goals
1.85Cork City xG
0.98Kerry xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Cork City 1.9 – 1.0 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCork City to win ✓62%1.621.38
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓83%1.211.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.77
Draw no betCork City (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapKerry +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.521.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.20
First team to scoreCork City to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultCork City ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cork City / FT Cork City ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Cork City – last 6

WWLDLL
3 Augvs Athlone Town3–2W
31 Jul@ Finn Harps3–0W
24 Jul@ UCD2–5L
17 Jul@ Shamrock Rovers1–1D
14 Julvs Cardiff1–6L
10 Julvs Longford Town3–4L
2.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Kerry – last 6

WWWDDL
3 Augvs Cobh Ramblers3–0W
31 Jul@ Bray Wanderers4–0W
24 Julvs Finn Harps2–1W
17 Julvs Shelbourne2–2D
10 Jul@ Wexford2–2D
3 Jul@ Treaty United1–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Kerry v Cork City1–0
6 Apr 2026Cork City v Kerry4–2
Cork City vs Kerry head-to-head page →

First Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City362367+3975
2UCD3616812+1656
3Bray Wanderers3615912+1454
4Kerry FC36141012+452
5Longford Town36141012+352
6Cobh Ramblers3614715-849
7Athlone Town3613914-148
8Wexford3611916-1442
9Treaty United3611916-1642
10Finn Harps367722-3728

More First Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cork City vs Kerry?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Cork City vs Kerry?

On our numbers Cork City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kerry 17%.

How many goals will there be in Cork City vs Kerry?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cork City vs Kerry?

Our predicted score is Cork City 1–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Cork City vs Kerry?

Cork City vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.