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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aldosivi v River Plate: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Jose Maria Minella
0–2
FT
Aldosivi 9%Draw 23%River Plate 68% Expected goals 0.53 – 1.85
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRiver Plate to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Aldosivi vs River Plate: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Aldosivi v River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Jose Maria Minella. In the table, Aldosivi are 29th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 32 matches; River Plate are 7th (upper half) with 55. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aldosivi, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Racing Club, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

River Plate, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Boca Juniors, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours River Plate, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Aldosivi.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended River Plate 1–3 Aldosivi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aldosivi 1 win, River Plate 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aldosivi 0.5 xG, River Plate 1.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aldosivi 9%, draw 23%, River Plate 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aldosivi 0–1 River Plate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aldosivi9%fair 11.39 · @7.50
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.75
River Plate68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
2.38Expected goals
0.53Aldosivi xG
1.85River Plate xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–216%
0–310%
0–09%
1–19%
1–28%

From our goals model: Aldosivi 0.5 – 1.9 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRiver Plate to win ✓68%1.471.44
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓91%1.101.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.10 ▲
Draw no betRiver Plate (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapRiver Plate -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.10
First team to scoreRiver Plate to score first ✓70%1.42–
Half-time resultRiver Plate ahead at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT River Plate / FT River Plate ✗44%2.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.88–

Recent results

Aldosivi – last 6

LWLLLW
31 Oct@ Racing Club1–2L
25 Octvs Belgrano Cordoba1–0W
18 Oct@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–2L
9 Octvs Sarmiento Junin1–3L
4 Oct@ Huracan0–1L
21 Sepvs Atletico Tucuman1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

River Plate – last 6

LWWDWL
1 Nov@ Boca Juniors0–1L
25 Octvs Racing Club1–0W
19 Oct@ Belgrano Cordoba3–0W
14 Oct@ Sarmiento Junin1–1D
11 Octvs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–0W
19 Sepvs Huracan1–2L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026River Plate v Aldosivi1–3
26 Apr 2026River Plate v Aldosivi3–1
Aldosivi vs River Plate head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia161042+1434
2River Plate16925+1029
3Argentinos JRS16853+429
4Rosario Central16844+428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754+426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574+422
8Racing Club16565+221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484+320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aldosivi vs River Plate?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Aldosivi vs River Plate?

On our numbers Aldosivi have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 23% and River Plate 68%.

How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs River Plate?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aldosivi vs River Plate?

Our predicted score is Aldosivi 0–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Aldosivi vs River Plate?

Aldosivi vs River Plate (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Maria Minella.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.