Independiente v Deportivo Riestra Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente to win ✓59% · @1.75

Double chanceIndependiente or draw ✓83% · @1.18

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.53

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.30

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independiente welcome Deportivo Riestra for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Sunday 8 November (22:00 WAT). In the table, Independiente are 13th, upper half, on 47 points after 32 matches; Deportivo Riestra are 28th (in the drop zone) with 23. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Independiente, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Defensa Y Justicia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Deportivo Riestra, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Talleres Cordoba, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Independiente, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Riestra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente 1.4 xG, Deportivo Riestra 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente 59%, draw 24%, Deportivo Riestra 17%.
Lower-risk option: Independiente or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente59%fair 1.71 · @1.75

Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40

Deportivo Riestra17%fair 5.79 · @5.40

2.02Expected goals

1.42Independiente xG

0.60Deportivo Riestra xG

45%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%

2–013%

0–013%

1–111%

2–18%

0–18%

From our goals model: Independiente 1.4 – 0.6 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Independiente to win ✓	59%	1.71	1.75
Double chance	Independiente or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.18
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	55%	1.83	1.53
Draw no bet	Independiente (draw no bet) ✓	77%	1.30	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Riestra +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	66%	1.52	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.08	1.05
First team to score	Independiente to score first ✓	61%	1.64	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	48%	2.07	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Independiente / FT Independiente ✓	34%	2.93	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	19%	5.30	–

Independiente – last 6

DLDDLW

31 Oct	@ Defensa Y Justicia	1–1	D
25 Oct	vs Boca Juniors	0–1	L
18 Oct	@ Racing Club	1–1	D
12 Oct	@ Talleres Cordoba	0–0	D
2 Oct	vs Instituto Cordoba	1–4	L
19 Sep	@ Union Santa Fe	2–1	W

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Riestra – last 6

LLDLDD

31 Oct	vs Talleres Cordoba	0–3	L
27 Oct	@ Instituto Cordoba	0–1	L
20 Oct	vs Union Santa Fe	1–1	D
11 Oct	@ San Lorenzo	0–1	L
5 Oct	vs Central Cordoba de Santiago	1–1	D
19 Sep	@ Gimnasia M.	0–0	D

0.3Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	+12	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	+13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	+6	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	+4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	+4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	+3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	0	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	+4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	-3	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	-5	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	-12	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	-7	11

Team

Pts

+12

+13

-3

-8

-5

Central Cordoba de Santiago

-10

Newells Old Boys

-12

Deportivo Riestra

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

On our numbers Independiente have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Riestra 17%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Our predicted score is Independiente 1–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra?

Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Independiente v Deportivo Riestra: numbers & prediction