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Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia: numbers & prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · Estadio Alberto J. Armando
1–0
FT
Boca Juniors 69%Draw 23%Defensa Y Justicia 8% Expected goals 2.00 – 0.60
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultBoca Juniors to win ✓69% · @1.38
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓92% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Boca Juniors v Defensa Y Justicia in the Liga Profesional Argentina, played at Estadio Alberto J. Armando. In the table, Boca Juniors are 1st, leading the league, on 63 points after 32 matches; Defensa Y Justicia are 14th (upper half) with 47. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Boca Juniors, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over River Plate, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Defensa Y Justicia, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Independiente, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Defensa Y Justicia 0–4 Boca Juniors.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boca Juniors 2.0 xG, Defensa Y Justicia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Juniors 69%, draw 23%, Defensa Y Justicia 8%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Juniors 2–0 Defensa Y Justicia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boca Juniors69%fair 1.46 · @1.38
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.33
Defensa Y Justicia8%fair 12.03 · @9.50
2.60Expected goals
2.00Boca Juniors xG
0.60Defensa Y Justicia xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Boca Juniors 2.0 – 0.6 Defensa Y Justicia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoca Juniors to win ✓69%1.461.38
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓92%1.091.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.80
Draw no betBoca Juniors (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapBoca Juniors -1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.14
First team to scoreBoca Juniors to score first ✓71%1.40–
Half-time resultBoca Juniors ahead at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors ✗46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Boca Juniors – last 6

WWWWLD
1 Novvs River Plate1–0W
25 Oct@ Independiente1–0W
21 Oct@ Vasco DA Gama3–1W
17 Octvs Talleres Cordoba2–1W
14 Octvs Vasco DA Gama0–1L
9 Oct@ Instituto Cordoba2–2D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Defensa Y Justicia – last 6

DWLWWD
31 Octvs Independiente1–1D
24 Oct@ Talleres Cordoba2–1W
16 Octvs Instituto Cordoba0–1L
10 Oct@ Union Santa Fe2–0W
3 Octvs San Lorenzo3–0W
18 Sep@ Central Cordoba de Santiago2–2D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Defensa Y Justicia v Boca Juniors0–4
Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia head-to-head page →

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16943+1231
2Boca Juniors16862+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16772+628
4Talleres Cordoba16754+426
5Independiente16664+424
6Lanus16664+324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565+421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

On our numbers Boca Juniors have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Defensa Y Justicia 8%.

How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

Our predicted score is Boca Juniors 2–0 Defensa Y Justicia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia?

Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto J. Armando.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.