Gimnasia M. v Independ. Rivadavia Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia M. to win ✗38% · @2.77

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.34

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.88

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60

Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independ. Rivadavia travel to face Gimnasia M. on Sunday 8 November in the Liga Profesional Argentina, with Victor Legrotaglie the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia M. are 17th, lower half, on 41 points after 32 matches; Independ. Rivadavia are 4th (among the top four) with 57. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gimnasia M., last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lanus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Banfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia M. 1.2 xG, Independ. Rivadavia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia M. 38%, draw 24%, Independ. Rivadavia 38%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.88.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia M. 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia M.38%fair 2.63 · @2.77

Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.15

Independ. Rivadavia38%fair 2.64 · @2.70

2.45Expected goals

1.23Gimnasia M. xG

1.22Independ. Rivadavia xG

52%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–111%

0–09%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Gimnasia M. 1.2 – 1.2 Independ. Rivadavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gimnasia M. to win ✗	38%	2.63	2.77 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.34
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.93	1.88
Draw no bet	Gimnasia M. (draw no bet)	50%	2.00	–
Asian handicap	Independ. Rivadavia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.13	1.09
First team to score	Gimnasia M. to score first ✓	46%	2.19	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gimnasia M. / FT Gimnasia M. ✗	21%	4.82	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.60	–

Gimnasia M. – last 6

DLLWLD

2 Nov	@ Lanus	1–1	D
23 Oct	vs Platense	1–2	L
18 Oct	@ Velez Sarsfield	0–1	L
12 Oct	vs Newells Old Boys	1–0	W
5 Oct	@ Estudiantes L.P.	0–3	L
19 Sep	vs Deportivo Riestra	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Independ. Rivadavia – last 6

WLDLDW

3 Nov	vs Banfield	3–1	W
27 Oct	@ Argentinos JRS	0–1	L
17 Oct	vs Tigre	2–2	D
11 Oct	@ Rosario Central	0–5	L
3 Oct	vs Gimnasia L.P.	1–1	D
21 Sep	@ Barracas Central	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	+12	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	+13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	+6	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	+4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	+4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	+3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	0	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	+4	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	0	21
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	-3	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	-5	16
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	-12	15
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	-7	11

Team

Pts

+12

+13

-3

-8

-5

Central Cordoba de Santiago

-10

Newells Old Boys

-12

Deportivo Riestra

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?

On our numbers Gimnasia M. have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independ. Rivadavia 38%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia M. 1–1 Independ. Rivadavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia?

Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Victor Legrotaglie.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gimnasia M. v Independ. Rivadavia: numbers & prediction