Toluca W 46%Draw 23%Cruz Azul W 31%Expected goals 1.97 – 1.45
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca W to win ✗46% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the Liga MX Femenil brings Toluca W against Cruz Azul W. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Toluca W are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 14 matches; Cruz Azul W are 12th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Toluca W, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with León W, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Cruz Azul W, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atlético San Luis W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toluca W 2.0 xG, Cruz Azul W 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca W 46%, draw 23%, Cruz Azul W 31%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca W 2–1 Cruz Azul W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toluca W46%fair 2.16 · @2.28
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.65
Cruz Azul W31%fair 3.21 · @2.82
3.41Expected goals
1.97Toluca W xG
1.45Cruz Azul W xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Toluca W 2.0 – 1.4 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Toluca W
Cruz Azul W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
+17%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-1%
Our expected goals here
2.16
1.38
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca W to win✗
46%
2.16
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Draw no bet
Toluca W (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul W +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
First team to score
Toluca W to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Toluca W ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca W / FT Toluca W✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Toluca W – last 6
DWWLWW
1 Apr
@ León W
3–3
D
28 Mar
@ Mazatlán W
3–2
W
21 Mar
vs Necaxa W
5–1
W
17 Mar
@ América W
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Pumas UNAM W
4–2
W
21 Feb
@ Santos Laguna W
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul W – last 5
LWWWD
2 Apr
@ Atlético San Luis W
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Santos Laguna W
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs Necaxa W
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Atlas W
6–4
W
15 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Cruz Azul W.
What is the prediction for Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cruz Azul W 31%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 2–1 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W?
Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
