Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 54% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPumas UNAM W to win ✗76% · @1.10
Double chancePumas UNAM W or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.03
Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pumas UNAM W welcome Puebla W for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Sunday 5 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Pumas UNAM W are 9th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Puebla W are 17th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pumas UNAM W, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Monterrey W, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.
Puebla W, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Querétaro W, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pumas UNAM W 2.7 xG, Puebla W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pumas UNAM W 76%, draw 15%, Puebla W 10%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pumas UNAM W 2–1 Puebla W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pumas UNAM W76%fair 1.32 · @1.10
Draw15%fair 6.87 · @8.90
Puebla W10%fair 10.19 · @22.00
3.74Expected goals
2.66Pumas UNAM W xG
1.08Puebla W xG
54%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Pumas UNAM W 2.7 – 1.1 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pumas UNAM W
Puebla W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-7%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+54%
Our expected goals here
2.68
1.39
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pumas UNAM W to win✗
76%
1.32
1.10
Double chance
Pumas UNAM W or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
Pumas UNAM W (draw no bet)
89%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Pumas UNAM W -1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
First team to score
Pumas UNAM W to score first
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Pumas UNAM W ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pumas UNAM W / FT Pumas UNAM W✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.03
–
Recent results
Pumas UNAM W – last 5
LWLLL
2 Apr
@ Monterrey W
0–3
L
28 Mar
vs León W
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Tijuana W
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Toluca W
2–4
L
21 Feb
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Puebla W – last 5
DLLLL
1 Apr
vs Querétaro W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Juárez W
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán W
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pumas UNAM W and Puebla W.
What is the prediction for Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W?
On our numbers Pumas UNAM W have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Puebla W 10%.
How many goals will there be in Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W?
Our predicted score is Pumas UNAM W 2–1 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W?
Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
