Querétaro W 4%Draw 9%América W 87%Expected goals 0.72 – 3.56
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 53% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAmérica W to win ✓87% · @1.04
Double chanceAmérica W or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 13.35
Querétaro W vs América W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:06 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Querétaro W v América W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Estadio La Corregidora. In the table, Querétaro W are 15th, lower half, on 7 points after 14 matches; América W are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Querétaro W, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Puebla W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
América W, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlas W, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours América W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Querétaro W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Querétaro W 0.7 xG, América W 3.6 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Querétaro W 4%, draw 9%, América W 87%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Querétaro W 0–4 América W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Querétaro W4%fair 25.21 · @26.00
Draw9%fair 10.74 · @14.00
América W87%fair 1.15 · @1.04
4.28Expected goals
0.72Querétaro W xG
3.56América W xG
53%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–310%
0–49%
0–29%
1–37%
1–47%
0–57%
From our goals model: Querétaro W 0.7 – 3.6 América W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Querétaro W
América W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-39%
+108%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
-37%
Our expected goals here
0.72
4.00
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Double chance
América W or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
América W (draw no bet)✓
96%
1.05
–
Asian handicap
América W -2 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.73
First team to score
América W to score first
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✗
67%
1.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
13.35
–
Recent results
Querétaro W – last 6
DWLLLL
1 Apr
@ Puebla W
0–0
D
30 Mar
vs Juárez W
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Tijuana W
0–3
L
16 Mar
@ Tigres UANL W
0–6
L
13 Mar
vs Atlas W
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Atlético San Luis W
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
América W – last 6
WWWWLD
2 Apr
vs Atlas W
2–0
W
26 Mar
@ Tigres UANL W
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Toluca W
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs León W
4–2
W
11 Mar
@ Guadalajara W
2–3
L
16 Feb
vs Monterrey W
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Querétaro W and América W.
What is the prediction for Querétaro W vs América W?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Querétaro W vs América W?
On our numbers Querétaro W have a 4% chance of winning, the draw 9% and América W 87%.
How many goals will there be in Querétaro W vs América W?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Querétaro W vs América W?
Our predicted score is Querétaro W 0–4 América W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Querétaro W vs América W?
Querétaro W vs América W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 04:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Corregidora.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
