Necaxa W 9%Draw 13%Tijuana W 78%Expected goals 0.87 – 2.59
69%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.33
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.60 – our chance 54% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +41%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTijuana W to win78% · @1.08
Double chanceTijuana W or draw91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals69% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.92
Necaxa W vs Tijuana W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tijuana W travel to face Necaxa W on Sunday 5 April in the Liga MX Femenil, with Estadio Victoria the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Necaxa W are 18th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 14 matches; Tijuana W are 14th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Necaxa W, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Juárez W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Tijuana W, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tigres UANL W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tijuana W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Necaxa W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa W 0.9 xG, Tijuana W 2.6 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa W 9%, draw 13%, Tijuana W 78%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.60.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa W 1–2 Tijuana W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Necaxa W9%fair 11.19 · @23.00
Draw13%fair 7.44 · @10.00
Tijuana W78%fair 1.29 · @1.08
3.46Expected goals
0.87Necaxa W xG
2.59Tijuana W xG
54%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–29%
0–39%
0–18%
1–38%
1–17%
From our goals model: Necaxa W 0.9 – 2.6 Tijuana W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Necaxa W
Tijuana W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-57%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
+90%
+22%
Our expected goals here
0.99
2.49
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tijuana W to win
78%
1.29
1.08
Double chance
Tijuana W or draw
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
2.60 ▲
Draw no bet
Tijuana W (draw no bet)
90%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Tijuana W -1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
51%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.40
First team to score
Tijuana W to score first
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Tijuana W ahead at half-time
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tijuana W / FT Tijuana W
51%
1.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Necaxa W – last 6
LLLDLL
2 Apr
vs Juárez W
0–6
L
28 Mar
@ Atlas W
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Toluca W
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Cruz Azul W
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Santos Laguna W
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tijuana W – last 6
LDWWLW
3 Apr
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
30 Mar
vs Guadalajara W
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Querétaro W
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Pumas UNAM W
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Pachuca W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs León W
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa W and Tijuana W.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Necaxa W vs Tijuana W?
On our numbers Necaxa W have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Tijuana W 78%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa W vs Tijuana W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa W vs Tijuana W?
Our predicted score is Necaxa W 1–2 Tijuana W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Necaxa W vs Tijuana W?
Necaxa W vs Tijuana W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
