Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMiami FC to win ✗38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Miami FC welcome Las Vegas Lights to Riccardo Silva Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 9 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Miami FC are 8th, lower half, on 36 points after 30 matches; Las Vegas Lights are 11th (in the drop zone) with 36. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Miami FC, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Detroit City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Las Vegas Lights, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Oakland Roots, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Las Vegas Lights, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Miami FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Miami FC 1.6 xG, Las Vegas Lights 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Miami FC 38%, draw 24%, Las Vegas Lights 38%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Miami FC 1–1 Las Vegas Lights. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Miami FC38%fair 2.60 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.50
Las Vegas Lights38%fair 2.64 · @2.33
3.00Expected goals
1.56Miami FC xG
1.45Las Vegas Lights xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Miami FC 1.6 – 1.4 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Miami FC
Las Vegas Lights
Attack vs USL Championship average
+3%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.45
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miami FC to win✗
38%
2.60
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Draw no bet
Miami FC (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Las Vegas Lights +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Miami FC to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miami FC / FT Miami FC✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Miami FC – last 6
DLLWWD
2 Aug
vs Detroit City
2–2
D
26 Jul
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
2–3
L
23 Jul
@ Colorado Springs
0–2
L
16 Jul
vs Indy Eleven
2–0
W
12 Jul
@ Sarasota Paradise
5–0
W
6 Jul
vs Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 6
DDWWWL
6 Aug
vs Oakland Roots
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Phoenix Rising
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Detroit City
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ San Antonio
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Monterey Bay
3–2
W
5 Jul
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miami FC and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers Miami FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Las Vegas Lights 38%.
How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is Miami FC 1–1 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights?
Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington1
Phoenix Rising0
Sacramento Republic0
Colorado Springs0
San Antonio1
FC Tulsa0
El Paso Locomotive1
Oakland Roots0
Monterey Bay2
New Mexico United5