Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.92
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 9 August the USL Championship brings Pittsburgh Riverhounds against Sacramento Republic at Highmark Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 30 matches; Sacramento Republic are 2nd (among the top four) with 51.
Current form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Oakland Roots, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sacramento Republic, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Tulsa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.1 xG, Sacramento Republic 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pittsburgh Riverhounds 38%, draw 29%, Sacramento Republic 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pittsburgh Riverhounds38%fair 2.62 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @3.10
Sacramento Republic33%fair 3.07 · @3.20
2.11Expected goals
1.06Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
1.04Sacramento Republic xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1.1 – 1.0 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Sacramento Republic
Attack vs USL Championship average
-24%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
-27%
Our expected goals here
0.84
0.93
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✗
38%
2.62
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Draw no bet
Pittsburgh Riverhounds (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Sacramento Republic +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to score first✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.92
–
Recent results
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
WLLWLW
2 Aug
@ Oakland Roots
1–0
W
30 Jul
vs FC Tulsa
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Rhode Island
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Louisville City
3–1
W
16 Jul
@ Sporting JAX
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs Loudoun United
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sacramento Republic – last 6
LWWDLW
6 Aug
@ FC Tulsa
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Sporting JAX
5–0
W
26 Jul
@ Oakland Roots
3–1
W
19 Jul
@ Charleston Battery
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Boise
0–2
L
9 Jul
vs Rhode Island
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Sacramento Republic.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sacramento Republic 33%.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington1
Phoenix Rising0
Las Vegas Lights1
Colorado Springs0
San Antonio1
FC Tulsa0
El Paso Locomotive1
Oakland Roots0
Monterey Bay2
New Mexico United5