Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orange County SC welcome Tampa Bay Rowdies to Championship Soccer Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 9 August (03:00 WAT). In the table, Orange County SC are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Orange County SC, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over El Paso Locomotive, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 5–4 win over Louisville City, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orange County SC 1.0 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orange County SC 20%, draw 23%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 56%.
Lower-risk option: Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orange County SC 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orange County SC20%fair 4.97 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.60
Tampa Bay Rowdies56%fair 1.77 · @1.75
2.84Expected goals
1.04Orange County SC xG
1.81Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
1–36%
From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.0 – 1.8 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Orange County SC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Attack vs USL Championship average
-4%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+30%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.09
1.77
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✓
56%
1.77
1.75
Double chance
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Draw no bet
Tampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Orange County SC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Tampa Bay Rowdies to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Tampa Bay Rowdies ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✓
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Orange County SC – last 6
WWLDDW
2 Aug
vs El Paso Locomotive
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Monterey Bay
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Colorado Springs
0–3
L
9 Jul
@ Hartford Athletic
2–2
D
5 Jul
@ Rhode Island
1–1
D
25 Jun
@ Miami FC
4–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6
WWDWLW
2 Aug
vs Louisville City
5–4
W
26 Jul
@ Miami FC
3–2
W
19 Jul
@ Loudoun United
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Naples
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Lexington
1–4
L
21 Jun
@ Brooklyn
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orange County SC and Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Orange County SC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 56%.
How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Orange County SC 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Orange County SC vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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