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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hartford Athletic v Miami FC: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Trinity Health Stadium
2–1
FT
Hartford Athletic 59%Draw 24%Miami FC 17% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.82
83%
Betarazi pick

Hartford Athletic or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultHartford Athletic to win ✓59% · @1.77
Double chanceHartford Athletic or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.40

Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Miami FC travel to face Hartford Athletic on Sunday 16 August in the USL Championship, with Trinity Health Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Hartford Athletic are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Miami FC are 8th (lower half) with 36.

Current form

Hartford Athletic, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Charlotte Independence, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Miami FC, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to San Antonio, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hartford Athletic, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Miami FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hartford Athletic 1.8 xG, Miami FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hartford Athletic 59%, draw 24%, Miami FC 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hartford Athletic or draw (83%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hartford Athletic or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartford Athletic 1–0 Miami FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hartford Athletic59%fair 1.68 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
Miami FC17%fair 6.01 · @3.85
2.58Expected goals
1.76Hartford Athletic xG
0.82Miami FC xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.8 – 0.8 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHartford Athletic to win ✓59%1.681.77 ▲
Double chanceHartford Athletic or draw ✓83%1.201.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.62
Draw no betHartford Athletic (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapMiami FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.941.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreHartford Athletic to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultHartford Athletic ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.40–

Recent results

Hartford Athletic – last 6

WDLDLW
13 Aug@ Charlotte Independence4–2W
9 Aug@ Indy Eleven1–1D
2 Aug@ Loudoun United0–2L
26 Jul@ Phoenix Rising0–0D
19 Jul@ Rhode Island0–1L
12 Julvs Westchester SC2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Miami FC – last 6

LLDLLW
13 Aug@ San Antonio1–2L
9 Augvs Las Vegas Lights0–1L
2 Augvs Detroit City2–2D
26 Julvs Tampa Bay Rowdies2–3L
23 Jul@ Colorado Springs0–2L
16 Julvs Indy Eleven2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hartford Athletic and Miami FC.

Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?

Our pick is Hartford Athletic or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?

On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Miami FC 17%.

How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?

Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–0 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?

Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.