Value bet: Tampa Bay Rowdies to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Tampa Bay Rowdies v Rhode Island in the USL Championship, played at Al Lang Stadium. In the table, Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 30 matches; Rhode Island are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Louisville City, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rhode Island, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Colorado Springs, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tampa Bay Rowdies, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Rhode Island.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Rhode Island 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.0 xG, Rhode Island 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tampa Bay Rowdies 63%, draw 24%, Rhode Island 13%.
Lower-risk option: Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Tampa Bay Rowdies to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Rhode Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
Rhode Island13%fair 7.97 · @4.20
2.78Expected goals
1.98Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.80Rhode Island xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.0 – 0.8 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rhode Island 13%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–0 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colorado Springs3
San Antonio0
El Paso Locomotive3
New Mexico United1
FC Tulsa0
Oakland Roots1
Monterey Bay1