Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Indy Eleven to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndy Eleven to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting JAX welcome Indy Eleven to Hodges Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 16 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Sporting JAX are 13th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 30 matches; Indy Eleven are 9th (lower half) with 34. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting JAX, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Sacramento Republic, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Indy Eleven, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hartford Athletic, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Indy Eleven 2–1 Sporting JAX.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting JAX 1.1 xG, Indy Eleven 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting JAX 22%, draw 17%, Indy Eleven 61%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Indy Eleven to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting JAX 1–2 Indy Eleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting JAX22%fair 4.48 · @3.60
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @3.70
Indy Eleven61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
3.09Expected goals
1.08Sporting JAX xG
2.01Indy Eleven xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX 1.1 – 2.0 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Indy Eleven 61%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–2 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven?
Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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