Value bet: FC Tulsa to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNew Mexico United to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93
New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Sunday 16 August: New Mexico United v FC Tulsa in the USL Championship, played at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. In the table, New Mexico United are 1st, leading the league, on 52 points after 30 matches; FC Tulsa are 7th (lower half) with 43.
Current form
New Mexico United, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Monterey Bay, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
FC Tulsa, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Detroit City, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours New Mexico United, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for FC Tulsa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Mexico United 1.3 xG, FC Tulsa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Mexico United 42%, draw 21%, FC Tulsa 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: FC Tulsa to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Mexico United 1–1 FC Tulsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Mexico United42%fair 2.40 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
FC Tulsa37%fair 2.72 · @3.00
2.53Expected goals
1.32New Mexico United xG
1.21FC Tulsa xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.3 – 1.2 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New Mexico United to win✓
42%
2.40
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Draw no bet
New Mexico United (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
FC Tulsa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
New Mexico United to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New Mexico United / FT New Mexico United✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.93
–
Recent results
New Mexico United – last 6
WWWWWD
9 Aug
@ Monterey Bay
5–2
W
2 Aug
vs Colorado Springs
1–0
W
16 Jul
@ Lexington
4–1
W
12 Jul
@ El Paso Locomotive
2–0
W
5 Jul
vs Oakland Roots
2–1
W
2 Jul
vs Atlante FC
3–3
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Tulsa – last 6
LWWDWL
9 Aug
vs Detroit City
0–1
L
6 Aug
vs Sacramento Republic
1–0
W
30 Jul
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Lexington
0–0
D
19 Jul
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Birmingham Legion
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Mexico United and FC Tulsa.
What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
On our numbers New Mexico United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Tulsa 37%.
How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–1 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa?
New Mexico United vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Detroit City0
Loudoun United0
Hartford Athletic2
Miami FC1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds3
Charleston Battery1
Sporting JAX0
Indy Eleven1
Tampa Bay Rowdies2
Rhode Island0
Birmingham Legion2