El Paso Locomotive 66%Draw 22%Loudoun United 13%Expected goals 2.06 – 0.80
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: El Paso Locomotive to win @ 1.68 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✓66% · @1.68
Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Loudoun United travel to face El Paso Locomotive on Sunday 30 August in the USL Championship, with Southwest University Park the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, El Paso Locomotive are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 30 matches; Loudoun United are 10th (in the drop zone) with 31. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Pittsburgh Riverhounds, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Loudoun United, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with New Mexico United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Loudoun United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Paso Locomotive 2.1 xG, Loudoun United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Paso Locomotive 66%, draw 22%, Loudoun United 13%.
Lower-risk option: El Paso Locomotive or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: El Paso Locomotive to win @1.68 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Paso Locomotive 2–0 Loudoun United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Paso Locomotive66%fair 1.52 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.80
Loudoun United13%fair 7.99 · @4.20
2.85Expected goals
2.06El Paso Locomotive xG
0.80Loudoun United xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 2.1 – 0.8 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✓
66%
1.52
1.68 ▲
Double chance
El Paso Locomotive or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Draw no bet
El Paso Locomotive (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
El Paso Locomotive -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
El Paso Locomotive to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
El Paso Locomotive ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WWWWWL
27 Aug
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Colorado Springs
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Antonio
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Oakland Roots
1–0
W
6 Aug
vs Monterey Bay
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Orange County SC
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Loudoun United – last 6
DDLWWD
22 Aug
vs New Mexico United
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Detroit City
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Charleston Battery
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Indy Eleven
1–0
W
19 Jul
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Loudoun United.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Loudoun United 13%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 2–0 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington0
Colorado Springs1
Oakland Roots1
Orange County SC1
FC Tulsa1
New Mexico United1
San Antonio2
Monterey Bay1
Sacramento Republic1