Value bet: Sacramento Republic to win @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗54% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monterey Bay welcome Sacramento Republic to Cardinale Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 30 August (03:00 WAT). In the table, Monterey Bay are 12th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Sacramento Republic are 2nd (among the top four) with 51. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Monterey Bay, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rhode Island, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Sacramento Republic, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Phoenix Rising, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sacramento Republic, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Monterey Bay.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Sacramento Republic 1–1 Monterey Bay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterey Bay 0.9 xG, Sacramento Republic 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterey Bay 23%, draw 23%, Sacramento Republic 54%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Sacramento Republic to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterey Bay 0–1 Sacramento Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterey Bay23%fair 4.39 · @3.45
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Sacramento Republic54%fair 1.84 · @1.95
2.56Expected goals
0.94Monterey Bay xG
1.62Sacramento Republic xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 0.9 – 1.6 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sacramento Republic 54%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 0–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic?
Monterey Bay vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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