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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hartford Athletic v Birmingham Legion: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Trinity Health Stadium
Hartford Athletic 54%Draw 25%Birmingham Legion 21% Expected goals 1.41 – 0.75
79%
Betarazi pick

Hartford Athletic or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultHartford Athletic to win ✓54% · @1.95
Double chanceHartford Athletic or draw ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63

Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Birmingham Legion travel to face Hartford Athletic on Sunday 30 August in the USL Championship, with Trinity Health Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Hartford Athletic are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Birmingham Legion are 11th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hartford Athletic, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Miami FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Birmingham Legion, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sporting JAX, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Birmingham Legion 0–0 Hartford Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hartford Athletic 1.4 xG, Birmingham Legion 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hartford Athletic 54%, draw 25%, Birmingham Legion 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hartford Athletic or draw (79%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hartford Athletic or draw (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartford Athletic 1–0 Birmingham Legion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hartford Athletic54%fair 1.84 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
Birmingham Legion21%fair 4.74 · @3.30
2.16Expected goals
1.41Hartford Athletic xG
0.75Birmingham Legion xG
56%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–012%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.4 – 0.7 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHartford Athletic to win ✓54%1.841.95 ▲
Double chanceHartford Athletic or draw ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.55
Draw no betHartford Athletic (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapBirmingham Legion +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗93%1.07–
First team to scoreHartford Athletic to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hartford Athletic / FT Hartford Athletic ✗31%3.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.63–

Recent results

Hartford Athletic – last 6

WWDLDL
16 Augvs Miami FC2–1W
13 Aug@ Charlotte Independence4–2W
9 Aug@ Indy Eleven1–1D
2 Aug@ Loudoun United0–2L
26 Jul@ Phoenix Rising0–0D
19 Jul@ Rhode Island0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Birmingham Legion – last 6

LLWLWD
23 Augvs Sporting JAX2–3L
16 Aug@ Colorado Springs2–3L
3 Augvs Rhode Island1–0W
30 Jul@ Louisville City1–2L
12 Julvs FC Tulsa3–1W
6 Jul@ Miami FC1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Birmingham Legion v Hartford Athletic0–0
Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?

Our pick is Hartford Athletic or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?

On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Birmingham Legion 21%.

How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?

Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–0 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?

Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.