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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Louisville City v Detroit City: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Lynn Family Stadium
0–0
FT
Louisville City 58%Draw 24%Detroit City 18% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.97
82%
Betarazi pick

Louisville City or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultLouisville City to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Louisville City vs Detroit City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Detroit City travel to face Louisville City on Sunday 30 August in the USL Championship, with Lynn Family Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Louisville City are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; Detroit City are 3rd (among the top four) with 51.

Current form

Louisville City, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Indy Eleven, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Detroit City, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tampa Bay Rowdies, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Detroit City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Louisville City.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jun 2026) it ended Detroit City 0–0 Louisville City. The last 2 head-to-heads: Louisville City 0 wins, Detroit City 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Louisville City 1.9 xG, Detroit City 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Louisville City 58%, draw 24%, Detroit City 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Louisville City or draw (82%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Louisville City or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louisville City 1–0 Detroit City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Louisville City58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.30
Detroit City18%fair 5.51 · @4.33
2.85Expected goals
1.88Louisville City xG
0.97Detroit City xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Louisville City 1.9 – 1.0 Detroit City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouisville City to win ✗58%1.721.73
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓82%1.221.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.85
Draw no betLouisville City (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapDetroit City +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreLouisville City to score first ✗62%1.61–
Half-time resultLouisville City ahead at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Louisville City – last 6

LWDDLW
23 Aug@ Indy Eleven1–2L
16 Aug@ Orange County SC3–2W
13 Aug@ Tampa Bay Rowdies0–0D
9 Augvs San Antonio1–1D
2 Aug@ Tampa Bay Rowdies4–5L
30 Julvs Birmingham Legion2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Detroit City – last 6

WDWDLW
23 Augvs Tampa Bay Rowdies1–0W
16 Augvs Loudoun United0–0D
9 Aug@ FC Tulsa1–0W
2 Aug@ Miami FC2–2D
26 Julvs Las Vegas Lights0–1L
19 Julvs Indy Eleven2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Detroit City v Louisville City0–0
2 May 2026Detroit City v Louisville City2–1
Louisville City vs Detroit City head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Detroit City?

Our pick is Louisville City or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Louisville City vs Detroit City?

On our numbers Louisville City have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Detroit City 18%.

How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Detroit City?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs Detroit City?

Our predicted score is Louisville City 1–0 Detroit City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Louisville City vs Detroit City?

Louisville City vs Detroit City (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.