Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the USL Championship brings Phoenix Rising against Indy Eleven at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Kick-off: 03:30 WAT. In the table, Phoenix Rising are 8th, lower half, on 40 points after 30 matches; Indy Eleven are 9th (lower half) with 34.
Current form
Phoenix Rising, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sacramento Republic, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Indy Eleven, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Louisville City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Phoenix Rising 1.4 xG, Indy Eleven 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Phoenix Rising 43%, draw 21%, Indy Eleven 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phoenix Rising 1–1 Indy Eleven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Phoenix Rising43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
Indy Eleven36%fair 2.78 · @2.90
2.74Expected goals
1.44Phoenix Rising xG
1.29Indy Eleven xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.4 – 1.3 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phoenix Rising to win✓
43%
2.32
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Draw no bet
Phoenix Rising (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Indy Eleven +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Phoenix Rising to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phoenix Rising / FT Phoenix Rising✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
Phoenix Rising – last 6
DWLDDW
23 Aug
@ Sacramento Republic
2–2
D
20 Aug
vs Colorado Springs
3–1
W
9 Aug
@ Lexington
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
19 Jul
vs Monterey Bay
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Indy Eleven – last 6
WWDLLL
23 Aug
vs Louisville City
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–3
L
26 Jul
vs Loudoun United
0–1
L
19 Jul
@ Detroit City
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Phoenix Rising and Indy Eleven.
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Indy Eleven 36%.
How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington0
Colorado Springs1
Oakland Roots1
Orange County SC1
FC Tulsa1
El Paso Locomotive4
New Mexico United1
San Antonio2