Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndy Eleven to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceIndy Eleven or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Birmingham Legion travel to face Indy Eleven on Sunday 6 September in the USL Championship, with Michael A. Carroll Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Indy Eleven are 9th, lower half, on 34 points after 30 matches; Birmingham Legion are 11th (in the drop zone) with 30.
Current form
Indy Eleven, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Phoenix Rising, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Birmingham Legion, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Hartford Athletic, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Indy Eleven 1.7 xG, Birmingham Legion 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Indy Eleven 58%, draw 22%, Birmingham Legion 20%.
Lower-risk option: Indy Eleven or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Indy Eleven or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indy Eleven 1–0 Birmingham Legion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Indy Eleven58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.60
Birmingham Legion20%fair 4.98 · @4.00
2.55Expected goals
1.69Indy Eleven xG
0.86Birmingham Legion xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Indy Eleven 1.7 – 0.9 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Double chance
Indy Eleven or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Draw no bet
Indy Eleven (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham Legion +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Indy Eleven to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Indy Eleven – last 6
LWWDLL
30 Aug
@ Phoenix Rising
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Louisville City
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–3
L
26 Jul
vs Loudoun United
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Birmingham Legion – last 6
LLLWLW
30 Aug
@ Hartford Athletic
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs Sporting JAX
2–3
L
16 Aug
@ Colorado Springs
2–3
L
3 Aug
vs Rhode Island
1–0
W
30 Jul
@ Louisville City
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs FC Tulsa
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Indy Eleven and Birmingham Legion.
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
Our pick is Indy Eleven or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
On our numbers Indy Eleven have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Birmingham Legion 20%.
How many goals will there be in Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
Our predicted score is Indy Eleven 1–0 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Michael A. Carroll Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington2
San Antonio0
FC Tulsa0
Orange County SC1
Sacramento Republic1
Monterey Bay1
Phoenix Rising1
Las Vegas Lights1
New Mexico United2