Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultLexington to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Sporting JAX vs Lexington: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lexington travel to face Sporting JAX on Sunday 6 September in the USL Championship, with Hodges Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting JAX are 13th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 30 matches; Lexington are 4th (among the top four) with 48. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting JAX, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Brooklyn, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Lexington, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Colorado Springs, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lexington, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Sporting JAX.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting JAX 1.2 xG, Lexington 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting JAX 22%, draw 20%, Lexington 58%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting JAX 1–2 Lexington. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting JAX22%fair 4.48 · @3.40
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.75
Lexington58%fair 1.74 · @1.80
3.23Expected goals
1.19Sporting JAX xG
2.04Lexington xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX 1.2 – 2.0 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lexington to win✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Draw no bet
Lexington (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Sporting JAX +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Lexington to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Lexington ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lexington / FT Lexington✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Sporting JAX – last 6
LWLLLD
30 Aug
@ Brooklyn
1–4
L
23 Aug
@ Birmingham Legion
3–2
W
16 Aug
vs Indy Eleven
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Sacramento Republic
0–5
L
26 Jul
@ El Paso Locomotive
0–2
L
19 Jul
vs Brooklyn
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lexington – last 6
LLWLWW
30 Aug
vs Colorado Springs
0–1
L
27 Aug
@ New Mexico United
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Las Vegas Lights
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Sacramento Republic
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Phoenix Rising
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Monterey Bay
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting JAX and Lexington.
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Lexington?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sporting JAX vs Lexington?
On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lexington 58%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Lexington?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Lexington?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–2 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX vs Lexington?
Sporting JAX vs Lexington (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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New Mexico United2