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Orange County SC v Sacramento Republic: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Championship Soccer Stadium
Orange County SC 33%Draw 23%Sacramento Republic 44% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.40
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40

Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Orange County SC v Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship, played at Championship Soccer Stadium. In the table, Orange County SC are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 30 matches; Sacramento Republic are 2nd (among the top four) with 51. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Orange County SC, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oakland Roots, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Sacramento Republic, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Monterey Bay, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Sacramento Republic 3–2 Orange County SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orange County SC 1.2 xG, Sacramento Republic 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orange County SC 33%, draw 23%, Sacramento Republic 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orange County SC 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orange County SC33%fair 3.00 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Sacramento Republic44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
2.58Expected goals
1.18Orange County SC xG
1.40Sacramento Republic xG
61%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–27%

From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.2 – 1.4 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✗44%2.282.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.67
Draw no betSacramento Republic (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapOrange County SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreSacramento Republic to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.40–

Recent results

Orange County SC – last 6

DLLLWW
30 Aug@ Oakland Roots1–1D
23 Augvs FC Tulsa1–5L
16 Augvs Louisville City2–3L
9 Augvs Tampa Bay Rowdies0–3L
2 Augvs El Paso Locomotive2–0W
26 Jul@ Monterey Bay2–1W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sacramento Republic – last 6

DDWDLW
30 Aug@ Monterey Bay1–1D
23 Augvs Phoenix Rising2–2D
16 Augvs Lexington1–0W
9 Aug@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–0D
6 Aug@ FC Tulsa0–1L
2 Augvs Sporting JAX5–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Sacramento Republic v Orange County SC3–2
Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?

On our numbers Orange County SC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sacramento Republic 44%.

How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?

Our predicted score is Orange County SC 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?

Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.