Monterey Bay 34%Draw 21%Phoenix Rising 45%Expected goals 1.28 – 1.52
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the USL Championship brings Monterey Bay against Phoenix Rising at Cardinale Stadium. Kick-off: 03:00 WAT. In the table, Monterey Bay are 12th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 30 matches; Phoenix Rising are 8th (lower half) with 40. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Monterey Bay, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sacramento Republic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Phoenix Rising, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Indy Eleven, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Phoenix Rising, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Monterey Bay.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended Phoenix Rising 3–2 Monterey Bay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterey Bay 1.3 xG, Phoenix Rising 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterey Bay 34%, draw 21%, Phoenix Rising 45%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterey Bay 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterey Bay34%fair 2.94 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
Phoenix Rising45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
2.80Expected goals
1.28Monterey Bay xG
1.52Phoenix Rising xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.3 – 1.5 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phoenix Rising 45%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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