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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hartford Athletic v Tampa Bay Rowdies: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Trinity Health Stadium
Hartford Athletic 21%Draw 18%Tampa Bay Rowdies 61% Expected goals 0.72 – 1.57
61%
Betarazi pick

Tampa Bay Rowdies to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hartford Athletic welcome Tampa Bay Rowdies to Trinity Health Stadium for a USL Championship fixture on Sunday 13 September (00:00 WAT). In the table, Hartford Athletic are 6th, upper half, on 43 points after 30 matches; Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hartford Athletic, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Colorado Springs, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Rowdies, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Brooklyn, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Hartford Athletic, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–1 Hartford Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hartford Athletic 0.7 xG, Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hartford Athletic 21%, draw 18%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 61%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tampa Bay Rowdies to win (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartford Athletic 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hartford Athletic21%fair 4.86 · @3.25
Draw18%fair 5.50 · @3.30
Tampa Bay Rowdies61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
2.29Expected goals
0.72Hartford Athletic xG
1.57Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–212%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
1–07%

From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 0.7 – 1.6 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✗61%1.631.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.29 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.67
Draw no betTampa Bay Rowdies (draw no bet) ✗75%1.34–
Asian handicapHartford Athletic +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreTampa Bay Rowdies to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.13–

Recent results

Hartford Athletic – last 6

WDWWWW
9 Sepvs Colorado Springs2–1W
6 Sep@ Detroit City1–1D
3 Sep@ Charleston Battery2–1W
30 Augvs Birmingham Legion3–2W
16 Augvs Miami FC2–1W
13 Aug@ Charlotte Independence4–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6

WDLWDW
6 Sepvs Brooklyn2–0W
29 Aug@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–0D
23 Aug@ Detroit City0–1L
16 Augvs Rhode Island2–0W
13 Augvs Louisville City0–0D
9 Aug@ Orange County SC3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026Tampa Bay Rowdies v Hartford Athletic0–1
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 61%.

How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 0–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.