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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting JAX v Rhode Island: numbers & prediction

USL Championship · USA · Hodges Stadium
0–3
FT
Sporting JAX 15%Draw 22%Rhode Island 64% Expected goals 1.04 – 2.26
64%
Betarazi pick

Rhode Island to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultRhode Island to win ✓64% · @1.55
Double chanceRhode Island or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the USL Championship brings Sporting JAX against Rhode Island at Hodges Stadium. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting JAX are 13th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 30 matches; Rhode Island are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sporting JAX, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Lexington, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Rhode Island, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Louisville City, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting JAX 1.0 xG, Rhode Island 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting JAX 15%, draw 22%, Rhode Island 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rhode Island or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rhode Island to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting JAX 1–2 Rhode Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting JAX15%fair 6.86 · @4.75
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.90
Rhode Island64%fair 1.57 · @1.55
3.30Expected goals
1.04Sporting JAX xG
2.26Rhode Island xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Sporting JAX 1.0 – 2.3 Rhode Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRhode Island to win ✓64%1.571.55
Double chanceRhode Island or draw ✓85%1.171.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.67
Draw no betRhode Island (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapRhode Island -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
First team to scoreRhode Island to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultRhode Island ahead at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rhode Island / FT Rhode Island ✓43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Sporting JAX – last 6

WLWLLL
6 Sepvs Lexington3–2W
30 Aug@ Brooklyn1–4L
23 Aug@ Birmingham Legion3–2W
16 Augvs Indy Eleven0–1L
2 Aug@ Sacramento Republic0–5L
26 Jul@ El Paso Locomotive0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rhode Island – last 6

DLWLWL
6 Sepvs Louisville City1–1D
30 Aug@ FC Tulsa0–1L
23 Augvs Monterey Bay3–1W
16 Aug@ Tampa Bay Rowdies0–2L
9 Augvs Colorado Springs2–0W
3 Aug@ Birmingham Legion0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sporting JAX and Rhode Island.

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies301875+2661
2Charleston Battery301659+2153
3Detroit City301497+1351
4Louisville City301389+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds3013611+345
6Hartford Athletic3010137+243
7Rhode Island3012612+942
8Miami FC309912-1036
9Indy Eleven309714-634
10Loudoun United3061311-1031
11Birmingham Legion3061212-630
12Brooklyn305619-2921
13Sporting JAX303522-4614

More USL Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?

Our pick is Rhode Island to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?

On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rhode Island 64%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?

Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 1–2 Rhode Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island?

Sporting JAX vs Rhode Island (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.