Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultLouisville City to win ✗66% · @1.55
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
El Paso Locomotive travel to face Louisville City on Sunday 13 September in the USL Championship, with Lynn Family Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Louisville City are 4th, among the top four, on 47 points after 30 matches; El Paso Locomotive are 3rd (among the top four) with 50. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Louisville City, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Antonio, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
El Paso Locomotive, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Loudoun United, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours El Paso Locomotive, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Louisville City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Louisville City 2.2 xG, El Paso Locomotive 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Louisville City 66%, draw 21%, El Paso Locomotive 13%.
Lower-risk option: Louisville City or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Louisville City to win (66%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louisville City 2–0 El Paso Locomotive. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Louisville City66%fair 1.52 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
El Paso Locomotive13%fair 7.46 · @4.80
3.11Expected goals
2.20Louisville City xG
0.91El Paso Locomotive xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Louisville City 2.2 – 0.9 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louisville City to win✗
66%
1.52
1.55
Double chance
Louisville City or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Draw no bet
Louisville City (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Louisville City -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Louisville City to score first✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Louisville City ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Louisville City – last 6
DDDLWD
9 Sep
@ San Antonio
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Rhode Island
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Detroit City
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Indy Eleven
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Orange County SC
3–2
W
13 Aug
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WWWWWW
30 Aug
vs Loudoun United
4–1
W
27 Aug
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Colorado Springs
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Antonio
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Oakland Roots
1–0
W
6 Aug
vs Monterey Bay
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louisville City and El Paso Locomotive.
What is the prediction for Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is Louisville City to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers Louisville City have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and El Paso Locomotive 13%.
How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is Louisville City 2–0 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive?
Louisville City vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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